Analysis

Generalizations and facts

Mac Horsburgh 4 minute read 2:01 AM CST

Recently, I ran across a social media post with 100,000 followers which stated that “the media is the communist arm of the government.”

At first blush, it is easy to write off an outlandish comment like this as a function of a neurodegenerative illness or a psychological disorder.

Certainly, as a middle-of-the-road regular contributor to articles on the Think Tank page, I have never thought of myself as a communist. Truth be told, the Free Press neither offers me direction about what I write, nor do they pay me for my op-ed pieces. A post like this also does a grave disservice to the many dedicated journalists who ply their trade according to strict ethical guidelines.

At the same time, however, I realize that there are people who don’t read the Free Press because they believe that the mainstream media (MSM) have been co-opted and corrupted by government subsidies.

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Ukraine: Four years and still counting

Gwynne Dyer 5 minute read 2:01 AM CST

“Breathe deeply, calm down, and don’t go running to stock up on food and matches,” Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy told Ukrainians one month before the Russian tanks rolled across the border on Feb. 24, 2022. The American and British intelligence services knew the Russians were going to invade and told him so, but neither he nor his generals believed it.

Most of the European NATO members didn’t believe it either. That was partly because they still remembered the lies that the CIA and MI6 told them 20 years before to trick them into invading Iraq, but mainly because they couldn’t believe the Russians were that stupid.

Looking back much later, one European intelligence official explained that “We didn’t believe it would happen, because we thought the idea that (the Russians) would be able to walk into Kyiv and just install a puppet government was completely insane.” After a pause, he added defensively: “As it turned out, it was indeed completely insane.”

That was my mistake too. Right down to few days before the invasion I went on insisting that the intelligence must be wrong, because Russian President Vladimir Putin could not be that stupid. But he was. He had been surrounded and insulated by people desperate not to displease him for so long that he had no personal contact with external reality.

Carolyn Kaster / The Associated Press

United States goalkeeper Connor Hellebuyck uses his stick to block a shot by Canada’s Devon Toews during the third period of the men’s ice hockey gold medal game at the 2026 Winter Olympics, Feb. 22.

Carolyn Kaster / The Associated Press
                                United States goalkeeper Connor Hellebuyck uses his stick to block a shot by Canada’s Devon Toews during the third period of the men’s ice hockey gold medal game at the 2026 Winter Olympics, Feb. 22.

Cheering for Canada from a world away

Pam Frampton 5 minute read Preview

Cheering for Canada from a world away

Pam Frampton 5 minute read 2:01 AM CST

When Cale Makar’s magic wrist shot evened the score late in the second period of the gold-medal Canada-U.S. men’s hockey game on Sunday, our shouts of joy echoed inside the stone walls of our rented apartment in Lecce, Italy.

Which was surprising, if you know me, since I don’t follow sports. I don’t root for a team, own branded jerseys or collect sports memorabilia.

In fact, my complete lack of interest in sports was a running joke in the newsroom when I worked at The Telegram in St. John’s. On any given morning after a hotly contested game, our sports editor, Robin Short, would arrive for work and quip, “Some game last night, hey Pam?” — knowing full well I was oblivious.

Yet here I was in Italy, pulse racing, screaming for joy as a black puck made it past the lightning-speed reflexes of Winnipeg Jets goalie Connor Hellebuyck, who was minding the net for the U.S. men’s Olympic team.

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2:01 AM CST

In search of a better way to build Manitoba

Ron Hambley, Chris Lorenc and Shawn Wood 4 minute read Yesterday at 2:00 AM CST

Manitoba was built through hard work, collaboration, and community. Every hospital, school, road, and bridge reflects the dedication of our construction industry. Today, the sector employs more than 57,000 Manitobans, contributes $4.2 billion annually to the provincial economy, and supports businesses in every region. We are proud of the role we play in building Manitoba’s future.

We are speaking out about the Manitoba Jobs Agreement (MJA) not to oppose the government’s goals, but to ensure public policy delivers real value, respects worker choice, and protects taxpayers. The practical consequences of the MJA are clear: fewer bidders, reduced competition, increased administrative burden, and higher project costs. When competition narrows, prices rise. When compliance complexity grows, risk premiums follow. All of this lands on a provincial budget already facing structural deficits.

The MJA imposes a specific labour relations structure on provincially funded projects exceeding $50 million. Successful bidders must hire union card-holding workers first if their own workforce is insufficient. Union membership becomes the deciding factor — not skill, experience, or performance. If the goal is to ensure Manitobans work on these projects, there is a simple solution: require contractors to certify that their workforce consists of Manitoba residents. A union card should not determine who is entitled to work on taxpayer-funded infrastructure. The agreement also introduces entirely new costs. All employers must pay 85 cents per hour worked to the Manitoba Building Trades Council; an unprecedented charge in Manitoba construction. On a typical school project, this payment alone can exceed $250,000, with no measurable benefit to taxpayers.

Open-shop contractors face additional costs, including compulsory union dues, numerous union fund contributions, and payments to third parties. Taken together, these requirements will add millions of dollars to publicly funded projects. It’s money that could otherwise be invested directly in classrooms, hospitals, and infrastructure.

Chris Young / The Canadian Press

Prime Minister Mark Carney announced major new defence spending last summer, but how and where that money will be spent is every bit as important as the dollars involved, Kyle Volpe Hibert argues.

Chris Young / The Canadian Press
                                Prime Minister Mark Carney announced major new defence spending last summer, but how and where that money will be spent is every bit as important as the dollars involved, Kyle Volpe Hibert argues.

Ottawa unveils its expansive rearmament plan

Kyle Volpi Hiebert 5 minute read Preview

Ottawa unveils its expansive rearmament plan

Kyle Volpi Hiebert 5 minute read Yesterday at 2:00 AM CST

Prime Minister Mark Carney’s recent Davos speech was widely lauded for calling out how today’s global order is reverting back to the law of the jungle. He also highlighted ways Canada is helping its middle-power allies adapt to this new reality by bolstering NATO’s hard power projection. For evidence, he touted Ottawa’s “unprecedented investments in over-the-horizon radar, in submarines, in aircraft and boots on the ground, boots on the ice.”

Expect to hear far more about Canada’s military modernization in the months and years ahead.

On Feb. 17, Carney released Ottawa’s long-awaited Defence Industrial Strategy. It’s a blueprint for how the bonus $81.8 billion over five years for the Canadian Armed Forces (CAF) contained in Budget 2025 will be spent. And all the enormous increases to the CAF budgets thereafter.

Carney last summer committed Canada to NATO’s elevated target of members spending five per cent of GDP on defence by 2035. If Ottawa honours that, the military’s annual budget will skyrocket to $160 billion in less than 10 years. That’s roughly five times more than the Department of National Defence’s budget estimates were in 2024-2025.

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Yesterday at 2:00 AM CST

Festival du Voyageur and the modern fur industry

Tracy Groenewegen 5 minute read Yesterday at 2:00 AM CST

Festival du Voyageur, which wrapped up its 57th annual run this past weekend, is hard to pin down.

It is Western Canada’s largest winter festival and francophone event. It celebrates Indigenous history and culture. It used to hold staged gunfights or “skirmishes” and a casino.

It can be easy to forget that Festival du Voyageur is at its core a celebration of Canada’s fur trade history. Without the fur trade, there would be no Canada as we know it. Among other things, it was the engine of French settlement in North America and gave birth to the Metis Nation. At the same time, the fur trade had profound and lasting negative impacts on Indigenous communities and devastated local populations of beavers and other animals. Any event that commemorates a history as deeply contentious as that of the fur trade — especially one that draws tens of thousands of people each year — must do so responsibly.

Festival du Voyageur agrees.

Submitted/Brent Bellamy

Right turns on red lights: dangerous for pedestrians and cyclists.

Submitted/Brent Bellamy
                                Right turns on red lights: dangerous for pedestrians and cyclists.

Right turns on red — it’s time for a change

Brent Bellamy 5 minute read Preview

Right turns on red — it’s time for a change

Brent Bellamy 5 minute read Monday, Feb. 23, 2026

Over the past two years in Winnipeg, 25 pedestrians or cyclists have been killed in vehicle collisions.

More than one per month. On average, every second day in our city, a pedestrian or cyclist is struck and injured seriously enough to be reported to police. Every third day, one of those victims is sent to hospital.

Like most cities in Canada and the United States, Winnipeg has prioritized vehicles in its urban design since the last horse and buggy left the streets. In recent years, however, that has begun to change, with the city taking important steps to improve safety for vulnerable road users like pedestrians and cyclists. These efforts include adding traffic-calming measures such as bike lanes, speed humps, and narrowed intersections. Traffic lights with leading pedestrian intervals that allow pedestrians to begin crossing five seconds before vehicles, has significantly improved safety downtown.

Despite this progress, those troubling collision statistics demonstrate how important it is to continue looking for solutions to make our city’s streets safer. Further action could include converting one-way streets back to two-way, lowering residential speed limits, and accelerating the construction of protected infrastructure.

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Monday, Feb. 23, 2026

Only a matter of time for Cuba now

Gwynne Dyer 4 minute read Monday, Feb. 23, 2026

Fidel Castro and his communist band of brothers have had a good long run in power (66 years), but they have run out of road.

Most of the relatively small Cuban middle class fled to the United States after the 1959 revolution, but the new regime certainly had mass popular support for at least the next quarter-century. Then it began to erode, but only quite slowly at first.

The Castro brothers and their allies always faced huge economic problems because of the U.S. trade embargo, but things got much harder after the old Soviet Union collapsed in 1991, eliminating about 85 per cent of Cuba’s foreign trade.

The ensuing “Special Period in Time of Peace” spanned the 1990s and brought great hardship to ordinary people — rationing, blackouts, even severe food shortages — but the economy stabilized (at a permanently lower level of prosperity) by 2000.

CANADIAN PRESS/Sean Kilpatrick

Renters in Manitoba need relief from unreasonable rent increases — and soon.

CANADIAN PRESS/Sean Kilpatrick
                                Renters in Manitoba need relief from unreasonable rent increases — and soon.

Big rent hikes — a made-in-Manitoba problem

Yutaka Dirks 5 minute read Preview

Big rent hikes — a made-in-Manitoba problem

Yutaka Dirks 5 minute read Monday, Feb. 23, 2026

Premier Wab Kinew began 2026 by capping the price of milk in a bid to make life more affordable for Manitobans.

Now, Manitobans feeling the pinch of stagnant wages and inflation won’t have to swallow cost increases with their morning bowl of cereal. This spring, the premier has an opportunity to address one of the single largest monthly household expenses paid by Manitobans: rent.

Few provinces regulate milk prices, but most Canadian jurisdictions regulate rents. In Manitoba, rent increases are allowed once a year and capped based on changes in the consumer price index. This annual rent guideline is a fair process that accounts for increased costs while protecting tenants from rent gouging.

Despite these rules, each year thousands of tenants continue to face huge rent hikes — some well over 100 per cent.

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Monday, Feb. 23, 2026

The Canadian Press

Canadian democracy has to move beyond being a spectator sport, watched from the visitors’ gallery.

The Canadian Press
                                Canadian democracy has to move beyond being a spectator sport, watched from the visitors’ gallery.

Putting democracy in the hands of the people

David McLaughlin 5 minute read Preview

Putting democracy in the hands of the people

David McLaughlin 5 minute read Saturday, Feb. 21, 2026

Floor-crossings are raising questions about the democratic hygiene of Canada’s governing institutions.

When an MP elected under one political banner crosses the floor of the House of Commons or legislature to sit under another political banner, this is called a betrayal of democracy.

It isn’t. It is an inevitable bug of our system of representative democracy. A system that permits voters to choose a local candidate as their representative in Parliament or a legislative assembly. That representative is bound only by convention and conscience to remain bound to the party and constituents that elected them. Voters have a say only when that representative is forced to reapply for their role in a subsequent election.

If we, as citizens, truly want more of a say between elections, we need another set of democratic opportunities. A second democratic act, you might call it.

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Saturday, Feb. 21, 2026

Selective outrage and animal cruelty

Jessica Scott-Reid 4 minute read Saturday, Feb. 21, 2026

A Winnipeg couple has been charged and sentenced for heinous acts of animal cruelty that took place in a Lord Roberts-area apartment in 2024.

Irene Lima and Chad Kabecz were sentenced earlier this month to 12 years in prison for torturing and killing small animals including kittens, hamsters and a frog, in so-called “crush” videos and photos posted online.

Reaction to the case has been as expected.

Animal-lovers countrywide and beyond have expressed anger, disgust and horror over the abuse, and mixed emotions about the sentencing. Taking to social media, many demand the couple be held longer behind bars, while others call for street justice.

Regulatory reform, NDP style

Paul G. Thomas 5 minute read Saturday, Feb. 21, 2026

Regulation represents, in microcosm, the role of government in society, which makes it controversial. Simply put, regulation involves the imposition of constraints mainly on the behaviour of private individuals and organizations, but sometimes also on other parts of government, such as the Public Utility Board regulation of Manitoba Hydro. In simple terms, legislation makes law, and regulations are the rules that put those laws into practice.

Politicians of all stripes stridently declare their opposition to the “red tape” of regulation and other administrative requirements and promise to eliminate it. This is disingenuous. Governing complicated, interdependent and dynamic societies cannot happen without regulation. And more often than not we get the red tape we demand when we insist that governments address serious problems.

A balanced, smart approach to the assessment of regulation is required. It starts with a recognition that many rules support economic activity and advance important environmental, health and safety, and consumer-protection objectives. And of course there are also some regulations that are poorly designed, duplicative, unduly complex or outdated. There is both an objective factual dimension to regulation and a psychological dimension which involves how organizations and individuals perceive such rules.

Both of Manitoba’s two main parties talk about “regulatory reform,” a phrase which sometimes refers to the removal of unnecessary constraints on businesses and individuals, and other times refers to greater transparency and accountability in the regulatory process.

THE CANADIAN PRESS/Adrian Wyld

Prime Minister Mark Carney rises during Question Period on Parliament Hill in Ottawa on Feb. 10.

THE CANADIAN PRESS/Adrian Wyld
                                Prime Minister Mark Carney rises during Question Period on Parliament Hill in Ottawa on Feb. 10.

The gap between Carney’s rhetoric and reality

Erna Buffie 5 minute read Preview

The gap between Carney’s rhetoric and reality

Erna Buffie 5 minute read Friday, Feb. 20, 2026

Like many Canadians, I was initially impressed by Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Davos speech. Largely because it was the first time, in my memory, that a politician stood on a global stage and admitted that the so-called rules-based order, established after the Second World War, was too often applied to the benefit of the few to the detriment of the many.

Or as he put it: “We knew that the story of the international rules-based order was partially false. That the strongest would exempt themselves when convenient. That trade rules were enforced asymmetrically. And that international law applied with varying rigour, depending on the identity of the accused or the victim…”

He then observed that countries, like ours, which benefited from that order, “largely avoided calling out the gaps between rhetoric and reality.”

Sounds great, doesn’t it? In fact, as the speech goes on, it sounds as if he’s suggesting that in any new world order, wealthier, middle powers like Canada should be guided by higher values in their dealings with those with less power and wealth. That a new world order should be more symmetrical, just, and sustainable.

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Friday, Feb. 20, 2026

We can’t afford the Chief Peguis Trail expansion

Kele Schreckenbach 5 minute read Friday, Feb. 20, 2026

One of the main projects on Mayor Scott Gillingham’s list of goals is an extension of the Chief Peguis Trail. Whether necessary or not, this is an extension the city simply cannot afford and which city council and the mayor should not proceed with.

The first reason why is fiscal. The mayor touts this project as being important to the economic future of Winnipeg, as per the CBC. The argument seems to come from the net present value (NPV) of the project (a metric which compares the costs of a project to how much income it will bring in the future). However, the NPV of the project just got downgraded from $98 million to $42 million, per a Deloitte assessment.

While this might seem like a good thing for the city, and while there is a report from city staff detailing an NPV of $280 million, the cost paid is enormous: $900 million, an amount that the city does not even have on hand, and would have to go further into debt for.

The repayment of this debt, plus any interest that accrues, will easily surpass the $42 million in benefits the city gets, with a different article on the subject by CityNews stating that this project would put us above our debt ceiling.

Long live NATO 2.0

Gwynne Dyer 5 minute read Friday, Feb. 20, 2026

Every year at this time the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO), the world’s most powerful alliance for the past 77 years, holds a conference in Munich to examine its state of health.

The one just past was really a wake, but it played out more like the immortal Dead Parrot sketch from Monty Python, in which a customer (John Cleese) enters a pet shop with a cage containing a dead parrot (a Norwegian Blue) and says:

“This parrot is definitely deceased, and when I purchased it not half an hour ago you assured me that its total lack of movement was due to it being tired and shagged out following a long squawk.”

Shopkeeper: “Well he’s…he’s, ah…probably pining for the fjords.”

Supplied

(Left to right) Stephen Borys, Tannis Richardson and Ernest Cholakis marking the donation and exhibition of the George & Tannis Richardson Collection of Inuit Sculpture during Borys’ directorship.

Supplied
                                (Left to right) Stephen Borys, Tannis Richardson and Ernest Cholakis marking the donation and exhibition of the George & Tannis Richardson Collection of Inuit Sculpture during Borys’ directorship.

The quiet, sustaining architecture of volunteer leadership

Stephen Borys 6 minute read Preview

The quiet, sustaining architecture of volunteer leadership

Stephen Borys 6 minute read Thursday, Feb. 19, 2026

When news broke that William (Bill) Loewen had passed away, Winnipeg lost more than a successful business leader and philanthropist. We lost one of those rare figures whose generosity shaped the cultural life of this city quietly and without fanfare.

Bill’s civic life was never his alone. Together with his wife Shirley, who passed away in 2022, he formed one of those steadfast partnerships that shaped a city over decades. Their support extended across the arts, education, and community — often without publicity and always with care. Winnipeg’s cultural landscape carries their imprint in ways both visible and unseen.

On the very day I launched Civic Muse last summer, Bill wrote to congratulate me. His email began: “What a brilliant idea. And what courage to take such a challenge on!” It was brief, energizing, forward-looking. In that same note, he outlined an arts initiative he hoped I might help bring to life. That was Bill: affirmation paired with action.

Over the following months, we met to explore the proposal — sometimes over lunch, sometimes by phone or email. The plan was ambitious, rooted in the belief that Winnipeg’s visual and performing arts communities could aim higher. He joined me last fall at Government House at an event honouring my tenure at the Winnipeg Art Gallery, and our conversation continued. Sadly, time was not on our side. Bill died before we could see the project realized.

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Thursday, Feb. 19, 2026

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