Analysis

The gap between Carney’s rhetoric and reality

Erna Buffie 5 minute read 2:00 AM CST

Like many Canadians, I was initially impressed by Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Davos speech. Largely because it was the first time, in my memory, that a politician stood on a global stage and admitted that the so-called rules-based order, established after the Second World War, was too often applied to the benefit of the few to the detriment of the many.

Or as he put it: “We knew that the story of the international rules-based order was partially false. That the strongest would exempt themselves when convenient. That trade rules were enforced asymmetrically. And that international law applied with varying rigour, depending on the identity of the accused or the victim…”

He then observed that countries, like ours, which benefited from that order, “largely avoided calling out the gaps between rhetoric and reality.”

Sounds great, doesn’t it? In fact, as the speech goes on, it sounds as if he’s suggesting that in any new world order, wealthier, middle powers like Canada should be guided by higher values in their dealings with those with less power and wealth. That a new world order should be more symmetrical, just, and sustainable.

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Long live NATO 2.0

Gwynne Dyer 5 minute read 2:00 AM CST

Every year at this time the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO), the world’s most powerful alliance for the past 77 years, holds a conference in Munich to examine its state of health.

The one just past was really a wake, but it played out more like the immortal Dead Parrot sketch from Monty Python, in which a customer (John Cleese) enters a pet shop with a cage containing a dead parrot (a Norwegian Blue) and says:

“This parrot is definitely deceased, and when I purchased it not half an hour ago you assured me that its total lack of movement was due to it being tired and shagged out following a long squawk.”

Shopkeeper: “Well he’s…he’s, ah…probably pining for the fjords.”

We can’t afford the Chief Peguis Trail expansion

Kele Schreckenbach 5 minute read 2:00 AM CST

One of the main projects on Mayor Scott Gillingham’s list of goals is an extension of the Chief Peguis Trail. Whether necessary or not, this is an extension the city simply cannot afford and which city council and the mayor should not proceed with.

The first reason why is fiscal. The mayor touts this project as being important to the economic future of Winnipeg, as per the CBC. The argument seems to come from the net present value (NPV) of the project (a metric which compares the costs of a project to how much income it will bring in the future). However, the NPV of the project just got downgraded from $98 million to $42 million, per a Deloitte assessment.

While this might seem like a good thing for the city, and while there is a report from city staff detailing an NPV of $280 million, the cost paid is enormous: $900 million, an amount that the city does not even have on hand, and would have to go further into debt for.

The repayment of this debt, plus any interest that accrues, will easily surpass the $42 million in benefits the city gets, with a different article on the subject by CityNews stating that this project would put us above our debt ceiling.

Supplied

(Left to right) Stephen Borys, Tannis Richardson and Ernest Cholakis marking the donation and exhibition of the George & Tannis Richardson Collection of Inuit Sculpture during Borys’ directorship.

Supplied
                                (Left to right) Stephen Borys, Tannis Richardson and Ernest Cholakis marking the donation and exhibition of the George & Tannis Richardson Collection of Inuit Sculpture during Borys’ directorship.

The quiet, sustaining architecture of volunteer leadership

Stephen Borys 6 minute read Preview

The quiet, sustaining architecture of volunteer leadership

Stephen Borys 6 minute read Yesterday at 2:00 AM CST

When news broke that William (Bill) Loewen had passed away, Winnipeg lost more than a successful business leader and philanthropist. We lost one of those rare figures whose generosity shaped the cultural life of this city quietly and without fanfare.

Bill’s civic life was never his alone. Together with his wife Shirley, who passed away in 2022, he formed one of those steadfast partnerships that shaped a city over decades. Their support extended across the arts, education, and community — often without publicity and always with care. Winnipeg’s cultural landscape carries their imprint in ways both visible and unseen.

On the very day I launched Civic Muse last summer, Bill wrote to congratulate me. His email began: “What a brilliant idea. And what courage to take such a challenge on!” It was brief, energizing, forward-looking. In that same note, he outlined an arts initiative he hoped I might help bring to life. That was Bill: affirmation paired with action.

Over the following months, we met to explore the proposal — sometimes over lunch, sometimes by phone or email. The plan was ambitious, rooted in the belief that Winnipeg’s visual and performing arts communities could aim higher. He joined me last fall at Government House at an event honouring my tenure at the Winnipeg Art Gallery, and our conversation continued. Sadly, time was not on our side. Bill died before we could see the project realized.

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Yesterday at 2:00 AM CST

MIKAELA MACKENZIE / FREE PRESS

Tataskweyak Cree Nation Chief Doreen Spence speaks at a news conference about Manitoba Hydro’s negative impact on sturgeon in the Churchill River on Jan. 22.

MIKAELA MACKENZIE / FREE PRESS
                                Tataskweyak Cree Nation Chief Doreen Spence speaks at a news conference about Manitoba Hydro’s negative impact on sturgeon in the Churchill River on Jan. 22.

Time has come to fully address damage by Manitoba Hydro

Chief Doreen Spence 7 minute read Preview

Time has come to fully address damage by Manitoba Hydro

Chief Doreen Spence 7 minute read Yesterday at 2:00 AM CST

The world and our country are at a crossroads, it seems. Relationships among governments are changing day-to-day. What cannot be lost in all the noise of the world, is the evolving relationship between this country’s governments, Canadians, and the First Peoples.

Premier Wab Kinew has made it known that Churchill, which sits in Treaty 5, is slated for significant change in this new world order. As chief for Tataskweyak Cree Nation, I have watched as our lands, waters, and peoples have suffered since colonization. Where once our elders shared stories of living in harmony with the gifts of the Creator, we now hear stories of lost ways.

When our ancestors entered into Treaty 5, we were promised we would be able to continue to our way of life. This includes fishing for sturgeon on the lower Churchill River as we have always done. We looked to the Crown to honour and uphold this Treaty promise, which is now enshrined in the Canadian Constitution.

Instead, we, the citizens of Tataskweyak Cree Nation, have watched our Treaty rights be violated repeatedly. No more. We are standing firm and insisting our Treaty rights be respected, our role as stewards to the land, water, and all living beings be respected, and that our voices be heard at the decision-making tables.

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Yesterday at 2:00 AM CST

Tim Smith/The Brandon Sun

Public receational opportunities for kids build better adults.

Tim Smith/The Brandon Sun
                                Public receational opportunities for kids build better adults.

Making the most of Winnipeg’s biggest opportunity

Ian Gillies 7 minute read Preview

Making the most of Winnipeg’s biggest opportunity

Ian Gillies 7 minute read Wednesday, Feb. 18, 2026

The critical moral test for any community is the world it leaves for its children.

Without a doubt, Winnipeggers want all their city’s young people to have successful lives. Here are things we know make success possible: graduating from high school and avoiding disasters like addiction to drugs, teen pregnancy, sexually transmitted diseases and becoming involved with the criminal justice system.

Most citizens understand this. And if they were told there are proven ways to make it much more likely for our wishes for Winnipeg’s young people to come true, they would probably say “Hey, let’s do more of that!”

But mostly, we don’t.

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Wednesday, Feb. 18, 2026

The Associated Press

A bicycle taxi travels at night in Havana, Cuba, on Jan. 6. U.S. control of Venezuelan oil is deepening the island’s energy crisis.

The Associated Press
                                A bicycle taxi travels at night in Havana, Cuba, on Jan. 6. U.S. control of Venezuelan oil is deepening the island’s energy crisis.

With new American pressure, will Cuba fall?

Peter McKenna 6 minute read Preview

With new American pressure, will Cuba fall?

Peter McKenna 6 minute read Wednesday, Feb. 18, 2026

If you were to listen to many of the commentators, experts and prognosticators, you would think that Cuba is about to collapse.

The socialist-leaning country, they keep telling us, is about to be taken off life-support and dispatched to the communist graveyard. Now that the Trump administration has effectively turned off the Venezuelan oil tap and browbeat Mexico into significantly reducing its petroleum exports to the island, they are convinced that the death-watch for Cuba has begun.

In a recent Politico article, one insider familiar with U.S. government thinking explained: “Energy is the chokehold to kill the regime.” Of course, official Washington would settle for “another Venezuela” and a Delcy Rodríguez-like figure to take charge in Cuba.

A lot of smart folks, however, have been talking about the Cuban government’s demise since the late 1980s — with the fall of the Berlin Wall and the collapse of communist dictatorships in East Germany and Romania. Many a pundit clamoured: “Cuba is next.”

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Wednesday, Feb. 18, 2026

Maintenance isn’t enough — we have to build

Sean Giesbrecht 5 minute read Tuesday, Feb. 17, 2026

For the third year in a row, the atmosphere in Manitoba’s staffrooms during the provincial school funding announcement has been one of cautious relief rather than the dread we came to expect for a decade.

As a high school teacher-librarian and a parent with a child in the public system, I want to begin by acknowledging the progress made.

After the lean, adversarial years of the Brian Pallister and Heather Stefanson governments, years defined by the looming threat of Bill 64 and funding increases that didn’t even cover the cost of a box of pencils, the current NDP government has chosen a different path.

This $79.8-million injection for the 2026-27 school year, building on the $104-million and $67-million investments of the previous two years, represents nearly a quarter-billion-dollar shift in how we value our children’s future. For the nutrition programs, the salary harmonization, and the simple act of treating educators as partners rather than enemies: thank you.

Evan Vucci / The Associated Press

U.S. President Donald Trump speaks during an event with Environmental Protection Agency director Lee Zeldin to announce the EPA will no longer regulate greenhouse gases.

Evan Vucci / The Associated Press
                                U.S. President Donald Trump speaks during an event with Environmental Protection Agency director Lee Zeldin to announce the EPA will no longer regulate greenhouse gases.

Federalism — and democracy on the ropes

John R. Wiens 5 minute read Preview

Federalism — and democracy on the ropes

John R. Wiens 5 minute read Tuesday, Feb. 17, 2026

In the United States of America, federalism, a key aspect of its democracy, is on the ropes.

Recent events have revealed how the fundamental relationships and underpinning arrangements of American governance are being deliberately and systematically undermined.

Some of those same inclinations are now appearing in Canada. This is troubling because the ideals of federalism are critical to successful democratic systems.

Federalism is a carefully crafted and unique governance set of relationships, structures and arrangements outlined in an overriding constitution. Well-known examples are Canada, the U.K., the U.S., and Germany. Although they go by different names, the latter two being called republics, what they have in common is somewhat similar federal systems. And they all seem to be working reasonably well except for the U.S., where federalism is facing its greatest challenge in recent history.

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Tuesday, Feb. 17, 2026

COVID and caring

Carina Blumgrund 5 minute read Tuesday, Feb. 17, 2026

I remember the build-up more than the moment itself.

I remember January 2020, hearing about a virus in China. February, watching numbers climb in many countries. The World Health Organization declaring it a pandemic on March 11. By the time everything locked down here in mid-March, we’d been watching it spread for weeks, this growing dread that it was coming for us too.

And then it arrived.

The deaths started mounting everywhere at once. Loved ones died alone in hospitals. Numbers climbed so fast we stopped being able to hold them as individual losses. Seniors homes were ravaged by a virus that moved through hallways and took lives before anyone understood how to stop it. Many had family members far away they couldn’t reach.

Larry MacDougal / The Canadian Press files

Alberta Premier Danielle Smith seems to be keeping a low profile on her province’s separation debate, for political gain.

Larry MacDougal / The Canadian Press files
                                Alberta Premier Danielle Smith seems to be keeping a low profile on her province’s separation debate, for political gain.

Who is championing Canada in Alberta?

David McLaughlin 5 minute read Preview

Who is championing Canada in Alberta?

David McLaughlin 5 minute read Saturday, Feb. 14, 2026

The most perplexing aspect of the incipient secession movement in Alberta isn’t that there are grassroots voices promoting it, but that there are few establishment voices challenging it. When the division of your country is on the table, why is the knife and fork only in the hands of the separatists?

Most days of the week, we are Team Canada. That’s because most days U.S. President Donald Trump seems to attack us. Unity against the latest orange narcissist threat comes automatically, if fatiguingly. But unity in the face of provincial grievance and a separatist movement is harder to manifest. It generates its own kind of fatigue.

Why?

First of all, we’ve seen this movie before. A half-century of official Quebec separatism, two referendums and numerous Parti Quebecois sovereigntist governments, have left most Canadians jaded as to the prospect of the same dynamic in Alberta.

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Saturday, Feb. 14, 2026

Funding public transit is smart climate policy

James Wilt 5 minute read Saturday, Feb. 14, 2026

The ongoing difficulties arising from Winnipeg Transit’s network redesign has further spotlighted the urgent need for increased government funding to public transit operations in Manitoba, including urban, rural and northern systems.

As Mel Marginet, Adam Johnston, Tom Brodbeck and the editorial board have written in the Free Press in recent months, the lack of additional operating funding — which covers the day-to-day costs of transit — has severely undermined the effectiveness and public reception of Winnipeg’s new system. Local political commentator (and former Calgary city councillor) Brian Pincott recently described this dynamic well on his blog: “Buses not running frequently enough, bus service ending too early, buses being full … all these things are about service, not network.”

Significantly increased operating funding isn’t the only answer to this problem — more dedicated bus lanes are also an essential piece, for example — but it’s impossible to build a reliable, frequent and affordable transit system without it. While Winnipeg would be the major beneficiary of increased government funding due to the sheer size of its system, many other municipalities throughout the province including Brandon, Steinbach and Thompson require dedicated support to either provide or expand transit service.

There are many obvious reasons for governments to properly fund transit: improving access to jobs, groceries, appointments and recreation for people who can’t or don’t want to drive; reducing the cost of living for households currently forced to spend thousands of dollars a year on vehicle ownership; and enabling denser land-use planning focused on housing people, not parked cars.

Protest bylaw goes too far

Neil McArthur, Arthur Schafer and R.J. Leyland 4 minute read Saturday, Feb. 14, 2026

From Minneapolis, to Tehran, to Bangladesh, people are taking to the streets to protest against perceived injustices.

Peaceful protest is a critically important line of defence against the unjust actions of governments.

Incredibly, here in Winnipeg, some members of our city council want to put strict limits on that essential right.

The proposed safe access to vulnerable infrastructure bylaw, if passed, would be the most draconian law of its kind in Canada.

Alex Brandon / The Associated Press Files

President Donald Trump: “The first thing China will do is terminate ALL Ice Hockey being played in Canada, and permanently eliminate The Stanley Cup.”

Alex Brandon / The Associated Press Files
                                President Donald Trump: “The first thing China will do is terminate ALL Ice Hockey being played in Canada, and permanently eliminate The Stanley Cup.”

For cognitive decline, Trump train lacks emergency brake

Russell Wangersky 6 minute read Preview

For cognitive decline, Trump train lacks emergency brake

Russell Wangersky 6 minute read Saturday, Feb. 14, 2026

When I was young, my grandfather on my mother’s side descended into what was then called premature senility — dementia — and became a very different person.

So much so that we didn’t visit him, and my mother’s mouth would take a distinct downward turn at the corners when his name came up. He was not the father she knew any more. There was, I think, a lot of hurt in there I wasn’t ever told about.

It was also a spectre that haunted her — because she feared the same fate was coming to her. She was concerned enough about what she called “losing my mind” that she built fail-safes — if she or Dad started spending money oddly, for example, my brothers and I were supposed to be contacted, and the closest sibling geographically would be able to use a sort of floating power of attorney to take control, if necessary.

It wasn’t revocable. Mom knew what might be coming, and she wasn’t leaving anything to chance. Lawyers knew. Accountants knew. Neighbours knew.

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Saturday, Feb. 14, 2026

MIKE DEAL / WINNIPEG FREE PRESS

The fiscal equation is changing for Canadian universities like the University of Manitoba, and Canadian students are going to have to pay higher tuition as a result.

MIKE DEAL / WINNIPEG FREE PRESS
                                The fiscal equation is changing for Canadian universities like the University of Manitoba, and Canadian students are going to have to pay higher tuition as a result.

Canada’s university funding system is broken

Michael Benarroch 6 minute read Preview

Canada’s university funding system is broken

Michael Benarroch 6 minute read Friday, Feb. 13, 2026

For decades, Canadian universities have delivered a world-class education at a remarkably accessible cost. Nationally, Manitoba has among the lowest tuition fees in the country.

However, like many universities across Canada, the University of Manitoba is facing a new reality that can no longer be ignored.

According to Statistics Canada, average tuition in Manitoba is 22.5 per cent below the national average and 39 per cent below Saskatchewan’s. As the Globe and Mail editorial board recently observed, Canadian students today are paying — after inflation — roughly what they paid in 2013.

The problem is that the cost of running a university in 2026 bears no resemblance to the cost of running one in 2013.

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Friday, Feb. 13, 2026

AI a potent wedge issue in U.S. midterms

Kyle Volpi Hiebert 5 minute read Friday, Feb. 13, 2026

Americans head to the polls again in November with no shortage of issues at stake. The White House’s weaponization of tariffs, immigration crackdown, government purges and foreign adventurism have roiled the nation. But calls to rein in artificial intelligence (AI) may ultimately gain the most traction for candidates.

The Trump administration’s AI Action Plan, released last summer, promises to assert U.S. technological dominance at breakneck speed. The strategy vows Washington will dismantle barriers to data centre construction, eliminate a raft of “woke” safety measures and lean on other nations to buy American tech.

Silicon Valley evangelists have fully bought in. Amazon, Meta, Google and Microsoft alone have announced US$650 billion in AI-related spending for 2026. That eclipses the GDP of countries such as Israel or Norway. It also doesn’t factor in other venture capital investments elsewhere, or outlays from OpenAI, Anthropic or the Elon Musk-owned xAI.

A market strategist told the Wall Street Journal last month that the U.S. could plausibly be in a recession if it weren’t for AI investments. Although this isn’t necessarily a good thing. America’s economic growth “has become so dependent on AI-related investment and wealth,” the paper reported,” that if the boom turns to bust, it could take the broader economy with it.”

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