Analysis

Opinion

‘Come September…’

Gwynne Dyer 5 minute read Saturday, Sep. 5, 2026

Making predictions in print is rarely a good idea, and saying “I told you so” is always rude, but rules are made to be broken. On June 10, one week before the short-lived ‘memorandum of understanding’ on the Middle East war was signed, I wrote a piece on that war that predicted what would happen next.

It said: “The next few months should be eventful but not alarming: ceasefires made, broken and remade on the U.S.-Iran front, while Gaza rots … Come September, however, things will probably start to get exciting, because the elections will create deadlines. Not for Iran, of course, but for Trump and for Netanyahu.”

I’m not claiming any great insight here. To the contrary, I’m pointing out that the probable course of events was so obvious as to be almost inevitable. The Iranians had already won just by not losing, and Donald Trump had no cards left to play.

It wasn’t yet clear that his cartoonish defence secretary, Pete Hegseth, had already managed to squander most of America’s large stockpile of precision-guided bombs and missiles with no visible effect on Iranian strategy, but that doesn’t really matter anyway. American weapons are of no relevance so long as Iran can keep control of the Strait of Hormuz.

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Opinion

Will Cuba become the new Panama?

Peter McKenna 5 minute read Saturday, Sep. 5, 2026

Suffice it to say there’s a lot going on in U.S.-Cuba relations today.

There is the loose talk by U.S. President Donald Trump that he will have “the honour of taking Cuba” and his recent order to deploy the aircraft carrier USS Nimitz and its strike group just off the coast of Cuba. Then there’s the tightening of the U.S. economic blockade against the island, the imposition of a crippling oil embargo, and a U.S. federal indictment against former Cuban president Raúl Castro on four murder counts.

Recently, U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio — the main driver of U.S. Cuba policy — has poured cold water on any possible diplomatic solution between the two countries. And he has made it abundantly clear that the Cubans will not “be able to wait us out or buy time.” Does that leave U.S. military intervention as the only viable alternative?

As U.S.-Cuba talks have essentially stalled, the Pentagon has provided the White House with a list of options for attacking Cuba and the CIA has initiated a new task force that specifically targets Cuba.

Opinion

Canada’s first Ukrainian pioneers

Peter John Manastyrsky 4 minute read Saturday, Sep. 5, 2026

On Aug. 24, Canadians of Ukrainian descent and Ukrainians throughout the diaspora celebrated the 35th anniversary of the restoration of Ukraine’s independence. This jubilant occasion identified Ukraine’s sovereignty within the international community.

Another milestone event will soon be addressed by Ukrainians. On Sept. 7, 1891 — 135 years ago — the first wave of Ukrainians arrived in our country.

Two adventurous individuals, Ivan Pylypiw and Wasyl Elyniak, were the first two officially recorded Ukrainian immigrants in Canada. They arrived in Montreal, on the steamship Oregon, and are considered the pioneers of the dynamic Ukrainian Canadian community that settled in Manitoba, Saskatchewan, and Alberta. Pylypiw and Elyniak were directly responsible for the first settlements on the Prairies by eventually bringing their own families and inspiring other households to come.

No one leaves their country unless inspired by some selfless ideal or compelled to do so by reasons of an imperative nature, such as politics and economics — as with the mass Ukrainian migration of 2022, after the Russian invasion, when millions of Ukrainians fled their homes and settled throughout Canada and the world.

Opinion

Manitoba’s next power plant already under construction

Colleen Kuruluk 4 minute read Friday, Sep. 4, 2026

Across Manitoba, we’re rapidly moving toward a more electrified future, as homes, businesses, industries, and transportation increasingly turn to electricity. This transition offers a significant opportunity to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, but it also requires us to rethink how we plan for and participate in our energy future.

Manitoba Hydro’s 2025 integrated resource plan (IRP), currently under review with the Public Utilities Board, projects that our province will need significant additional capacity over the next decade to meet growing electricity demand. Much of the public discussion following the IRP has focused on how to meet that growing demand and what new generation sources may need to be built.

These are important conversations, but I believe there’s another question that deserves just as much attention.

How much of that growing demand can we address by using energy more efficiently?

Opinion

The symptom and the disease

Alan H. Menkis 5 minute read Friday, Sep. 4, 2026

On the same morning, the Free Press carried two pieces written from opposite vantage points, arriving at the same locked door.

Charles Bernstein, writing as a gastroenterologist, described a nurse-practitioner program at Health Sciences Centre that gave patients with inflammatory bowel disease somewhere to turn before their illness forced them to an emergency room. It was then not funded to continue, and it ended. A service that had been approved, put in place, and shown to work was allowed to lapse.

Tom Brodbeck, writing as a columnist, described Shared Health, an organization created eight years ago as a fourth layer of administration added to the three the system already had — Manitoba Health, the regional authorities, and hospital administrations. He asked what this layer has done for patient care that those three could not, found no one able to answer, and concluded that the province should either make the case or let the structure go.

One writer watched something that worked disappear. The other watched something no one can justify persist. Their accounts are two symptoms of one disease.

Opinion

Explaining Canada’s superior employment rate

Wayne Simpson 5 minute read Preview

Explaining Canada’s superior employment rate

Wayne Simpson 5 minute read Friday, Sep. 4, 2026

Donald Trump regularly makes outrageous claims. Fentanyl was pouring across the northern border from Canada and had to be stopped. Canada is nasty to deal with and has the highest tariffs in the world. Canada needs the U.S. but the U.S. doesn’t need Canada. Canadians want to become the 51st state. And so on.

In the latest trade dispute, after Mark Carney walked away from negotiations, Trump made a new claim that Canada’s unemployment rate was 10 per cent and climbing rapidly. Insofar as the unemployment rate is closely monitored, reported monthly, and given similar attention to the rates of inflation and economic growth, the comment was likely intended to signal Canada’s weakness. It fits Trump’s narrative that Canada needs the U.S. for its livelihood and protection and would be better off more directly under U.S. influence as a 51st state, or perhaps a protectorate like the Philippines or Panama in the past.

Fact checkers quickly reported that Canada’s unemployment rate is really 6.4 per cent for July, not 10 per cent, has fallen from 6.9 per cent in April, and is at its lowest rate since May 2024. Some astute observers pointed out that Canada’s method for the calculation of the unemployment rate leads to a higher rate than the U.S. by about one per cent. Under the American methodology, then, our unemployment rate would be 5.4 per cent, not that far off the U.S. July rate of 4.1 per cent.

Detection of unemployment is less straightforward that might appear, as it is sandwiched between the labour force statuses of employment and inactivity at a particular point in time. The internationally established standard for determination of unemployment is the notion of searching for work — you are unemployed if you do not have paid employment and you are looking for work without success. Surveys have been developed to categorize respondents as employed, unemployed or inactive, including the labour force survey (LFS) in Canada and the current population survey (CPS) in the U.S.

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Friday, Sep. 4, 2026

Opinion

It’s like renaming the Great Barrier Reef

Ralph Pirozzo 5 minute read Thursday, Sep. 3, 2026

I write as a proud Canadian-Australian who is experiencing something I never imagined possible — watching Canada’s sovereignty, economic security and national identity being repeatedly challenged by the country it has long regarded as its closest neighbour and ally.

This is not an abstract diplomatic disagreement to me. Canada is my beloved country. To witness its name, dignity and independence treated as though they may be diminished, negotiated away or simply disregarded is profoundly painful.

Any one of the events that has occurred might be dismissed as another dispute between governments. Taken together, however, three developments provide unmistakable evidence that a red line has been crossed.

First came the tariffs affecting Canadian steel, aluminum, automobiles and softwood lumber. These measures were introduced despite the Canada-United States-Mexico Agreement — CUSMA — intended to provide stability, predictability and largely tariff-free trade across North America.

Opinion

A way of seeing, a vision for living

Stephen Borys 6 minute read Preview

A way of seeing, a vision for living

Stephen Borys 6 minute read Thursday, Sep. 3, 2026

In Ways of Seeing, John Berger reminds us that seeing precedes words.

We encounter the world before we learn to name it, and the images we make carry something of how we understand it. Looking involves choices: what we attend to, what we overlook, what our experience allows us to recognize.

An artist’s work can make us conscious of those choices, inviting us to see through another person’s eyes. It is one reason a painting can change our experience of a place we thought we knew.

I thought of this standing on a dock with artist Wanda Koop, listening as she described the changing light across the water: landscape and colour before detail, atmosphere before composition.

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Thursday, Sep. 3, 2026

Opinion

Filtering the worst of our behaviour

Gwynne Dyer 5 minute read Wednesday, Sep. 2, 2026

On Sunday, Aug. 30, a Falcon Heavy rocket delivered the Nancy Grace Roman space telescope onto a direct transfer trajectory to its permanent home at the Lagrange Two Point (L2), 1.5-million km from Earth. In 100 days it will reach its station, power up, and start observing the universe.

Astronomers will use it to try to understand the nature of dark matter, which makes up most of the mass in the universe (but some say may not even exist).

It is expected to find up to 100,000 new exoplanets circling other stars, and may be able to spot ones even smaller than Mars. Current methods can only see much bigger ones.

It will test a new technology called a coronagraph, which may one day be able to detect life on some of those planets by analyzing the light reflected from them. It would be nice to have a better answer to scientist Enrico Fermi’s famous question: “Where is everybody?”

Opinion

Reimagining education in Manitoba

Jim Silver 4 minute read Wednesday, Sep. 2, 2026

There has been much talk lately about how Manitoba can strengthen its economy and improve its general well-being. Adding a third component to our education system, one that would be equal in funding and recognition to K-12 and post-secondary education, would do just that.

That third component, adult basic education, already exists, but with inadequate funding and little recognition.

Adult basic education includes adult learning centres that offer mature high school diplomas to those who have not previously completed high school, and adult literacy programs that bring adults up to high school entry level.

Adult basic education works well. Since 2003, some 25,000 Manitobans have earned their mature high school diplomas. Enough graduates move off employment and income assistance, saving the provincial government money, and into full-time employment, increasing the government’s tax revenue, so that over a 10-year period the government makes more than it spends on adult basic education. The system pays for itself.

Opinion

Long-term care best when public

Noah Schulz 4 minute read Preview

Long-term care best when public

Noah Schulz 4 minute read Wednesday, Sep. 2, 2026

Long-term care remains in crisis in Manitoba. As a result, too many Manitobans fear what will happen to them and their relatives as they age and develop more complex health needs.

While some public support does exist, too much of the labour of caring for our relatives as we age is privatized onto individual family members, most often women in these families. This adds additional stress and workload onto these individuals, who must essentially act as unpaid caregivers for their loved ones as they age.

For those without such family support, the circumstances are even more challenging.

In Manitoba, personal care homes (PCH) are a mix of private for-profit, public and private not-for-profit operations. Recently, private for-profit care homes have been back in the news for all the wrong reasons.

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Wednesday, Sep. 2, 2026

Opinion

Recognizing the value of phys-ed for kids

Jerry Storie 5 minute read Preview

Recognizing the value of phys-ed for kids

Jerry Storie 5 minute read Tuesday, Sep. 1, 2026

The message from Premier Wab Kinew and Education Minister Tracy Schmidt last week about the importance of exercise for young people was timely and important — but it is not new.

Some 2,000 thousand years ago, Plato reportedly said, “In order to succeed in life, a person has two means: education and physical activity. Not separately, one for the soul and the other for the body, but for the two together.”

That was the message being reinforced last week by our provincial leaders.

The decision to focus on looking after our bodies as part of a healthy lifestyle, has seldom been consistently followed in education or in our daily lives. The reintroduction of daily physical education into our schools will only be meaningful if everyone, including our children, their families and schools and health-care professionals take up the challenge of making physical health a priority.

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Tuesday, Sep. 1, 2026

Opinion

Affordable student housing is an education issue

Jamie Wilson 5 minute read Tuesday, Sep. 1, 2026

When we talk about barriers to education, what usually comes to mind are tuition, cost of books or access to technology.

But, after years of listening to Indigenous students, families, elders, communities, and organizations across Manitoba, we heard something else. For many, the biggest barrier to post-secondary education is having a safe place to live, where their culture is honoured and resources are accessible.

Jordan was living in a tent in downtown Winnipeg for the first few weeks of his time at RRC Polytech.

Before attending Pathways to Business, he had been progressing in his journey to sobriety for a while. He knew he needed to keep that momentum going, and the opportunity came when he saw a poster for the program. Jordan saved up money from social assistance to apply, and was accepted for the 2024 fall term.

Opinion

History not meant to be nice and comforting

Allan Levine 5 minute read Monday, Aug. 31, 2026

History is messy. On one hand, it offers uplifting stories of success, courage, human achievement, invention, ingenuity, compassion and kindness. Think of Dr. Jonas Salk and his development of the first successful polio vaccine. Or Viola Desmond, who asserted her civil rights against racial segregation in Nova Scotia.

On the other hand, history is also dark, ugly, mean-spirited and a catalogue of hardships, tragedy and brutality. Consider slavery, the Holocaust, the First and Second World Wars and residential schools — to list only a very few examples of the bloodshed, cruelty, death and depravity that has frequently defined history.

Anyone who has extensively studied history or read a history book knows that the past is complex and rarely black and white; that men and women, whether they are politicians, activists, businessmen, journalists, lawyers and judges, have their good and bad sides. Human perfection is elusive and there are few saints.

Most of us understand this except, it seems, U.S. President Donald Trump and his White House officials. They don’t like presentations of U.S. history, for example, that highlight slavery and the slaughter of Indigenous peoples, key elements of the American past for hundreds of years.

Opinion

Trump: Ozymandias revisited?

John R. Wiens 4 minute read Monday, Aug. 31, 2026

In 1818, Percy Bysshe Shelley, inspired by the shattered statue of the most powerful Egyptian Pharaoh, Ramses II, wrote the sonnet Ozymandias as a comment on human hubris and impermanence. It provides a fitting epithet for the imperialistic forays of the current United States’ president and would-be autocrat, Donald J. Trump.

What Ramses and Trump have in common is unrestrained hubris and unlimited delusion.

Ramses says: “My name is O, King of Kings. Look at my works you Mighty and despair.”

Trump’s hubris and bluster on limits to his power: “There is one thing. My own morality. My own mind. It’s the only thing that can stop me.” On Truth Social, Trump declared himself the “most powerful person that has EVER walked this planet.”

Opinion

Knowing history — and not repeating it

Peter McKenna 5 minute read Preview

Knowing history — and not repeating it

Peter McKenna 5 minute read Monday, Aug. 31, 2026

Prime Minister Mark Carney summed up the current bilateral trade predicament nicely: “We cannot accept what they’ve offered and we will not give what they’ve asked.”

Interestingly, there are many similarities between what happened in the fall of 1987 and the trade war happening today between Canada and the United States. It has the same feel to it. And some of the same concerns, for me.

Of course, it’s a very different era and environment today. The circumstances are also not the same. And then there’s Trump.

But I can’t help but wonder if the recent turn of events in Canada-U.S. trade relations will resemble those of October 1987. That’s when Canada chose to return to the free trade negotiations and eventually cobble together a deal with the Ronald Reagan administration.

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Monday, Aug. 31, 2026

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